Precision Forecasting for Energy Trading
Capture volatility, optimize positions, and turn market signals into trading advantage.
Your Models Were Built for a Grid That No Longer Exists
Wholesale electricity markets have undergone a structural transformation. Renewables and storage now set prices in energy, capacity, and ancillary markets across ERCOT and CAISO. The duck curve — midday solar oversupply followed by steep evening demand ramps — is now visible in ERCOT as well as CAISO, driving negative midday prices, curtailment risk for generators, and increasingly volatile evening price spikes.
For traders, this means the old models — built on fuel cost stacks and historical load patterns — are structurally inadequate. Weather is the new fuel. Net demand is the new signal. And the edge goes to traders who can predict both sides of the equation — what the grid will consume AND what renewables will produce — with data that comes from real devices, not just satellite estimates and weather models.
curtailed annually across US ISOs — and accelerating
of negative DA pricing in CAISO Q1 2025 (39% YoY increase)
ERCOT real-time price spikes (April 2025)
Predict+ Solutions for Your Trading Operations
Energy trading is driven by volatility, timing, and precision. In markets where prices can swing dramatically within hours, even small forecasting errors can lead to missed opportunities or significant losses.
Predict+ provides high-resolution forecasts for load, net-load, and generation—translating complex system dynamics into actionable trading signals. By combining weather intelligence, market data, and AI-driven models, Predict+ helps traders anticipate price movements, identify spread opportunities, and manage risk with confidence. Reliable forecasting is fundamental to trading success—transforming uncertainty into opportunity and enabling better decisions in volatile power markets
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How Predict+ Powers Trading Operations
From day-ahead positioning to curtailment trading — every capability is built to give your desk an information advantage before the market reprices.
Win the Day-Ahead with Better Net Demand Intelligence
Net demand intelligence built on real device-level generation data for day-ahead positioning.
Capture DART Spreads with Real-Time Adaptive Forecasts
Hourly-refreshing forecasts that recalibrate to market events before prices move.
Trade Curtailment and Negative Pricing Events
Identify oversupply and negative pricing windows before they materialize.
Unified Demand + Generation + Price Intelligence
Demand, generation, and price forecasting in one unified platform built on real data.
Stress-Test Positions with Scenario Modeling
Weather-scenario stress testing with P10/P50/P90 confidence bands for position sizing.
Deploy in Days, Not Months
SaaS deployment in under a week with API integration into existing ETRM and EMS.
Enterprise-grade security
Your forecasting data is protected by enterprise-grade security infrastructure. Predict+ is built on a zero-trust architecture with end-to-end encryption, role-based access controls, and continuous monitoring — so your energy data stays yours.
Certified information security management
Audit in progress — on track for 2026
How we work together
Rapid validation and implementation so you are up and running as quickly and seamlessly as possible.
Discovery
Align on use cases, forecast horizons, stakeholders, and what success means for your organization.
Data
Connect sources — smart meters, SCADA, weather APIs, market feeds — validate quality, and establish repeatable pipelines.
Backtest
Run parallel validation against your historical data to demonstrate accuracy and fit before expanding scope.
Go-Live
Operational rollout with customized models tuned to your portfolio, with continuous monitoring from day one.
Optimization
Ongoing accuracy tuning for seasonal patterns, market changes, and evolving load profiles. Regular reviews to expand use cases.